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Towards the specification of a self-exciting point process for modelling crimes in Valencia

  • Autori: Marcello Chiodi; Nicoletta D'Angelo; Giada Adelfio; Jorge Mateu
  • Anno di pubblicazione: 2023
  • Tipologia: Contributo in atti di convegno pubblicato in volume
  • OA Link:


A number of papers have dealt with the analysis of crime data using self-exciting point process theory after the analogy drawn between aftershock ETAS models and crime rate. With the aim to describe crime events that occurred in Valencia in the last decade, in this paper, we justify the need for a self-exciting point process model through spatial and temporal exploratory analysis.