ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF AQUACULTURE INVESTMENTS UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA

Abstract

This study aims to analyze, from a technical and economic point of view, the choice between alternative investments in aquaculture under conditions of risk and uncertainty. In particular, a comparative analysis has been conducted between an inshore and an offshore farm producing European sea bass in the Mediterranean Sea. The applied model refers to the theory of subjective probability, assigning a different probability to expected incomes during the investment period. Results show an economic convenience of inshore with respect to offshore farming.