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DARIO PUMO

Daily rainfall statistics in Sicily (1920-2000)

Abstract

Rainfall characteristics are crucial for vegetation patterns formation and evolution in Mediterranean ecosystems. Changes in rainfall frequency and intensity could cause vegetation water stress for some plant species and benefit, at the same time, other species, driving coexistence and competition dynamics. The changes in the precipitation characteristics are sometimes more important than the changes in the total amount of precipitation in determining the partitioning between green and blue water with several implications for both the vegetation communities health and water resource management. Decreasing rainfall is a clear signature of climate change in Mediterranean countries. Annual and winter totals have been demonstrated to decrease in the past century and GCMs forecast a progressive worsening of the current situation even if it is still not clear if and how rainfall could be modified in its temporal and seasonal patterns. This study aims to analyze daily rainfall properties in Sicily in the last century. Namely the daily depths and interarrival times between events are investigated in about 50 stations, also characterizing seasonal rainfall features. The presence of significant trend has been detected using the non parametric Mann Kendall test.